Chiefs vs. Bills expert picks odds Spread points total player props how to watch AFC Championship Game

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A berth in Super Bowl LV is at stake as the and are going toe-to-toe with the winner heading to Tampa to face the Buccaneers. Buffalo held Baltimore to just three points en-route to a divisional round win, putting the Bills on the doorstep of their first Super Bowl appearance since 1993. Meanwhile, after exited the divisional round due to injury, was able to help K.C. keep its hopes of a repeat alive by hanging on to beat the .We're going to dive into all the different betting angles that this game has to offer below. Along with picks surrounding the spread and total from our CBS Sports and SportsLine experts, you'll also get some of the inside scoop on our favorite prop bets for this exciting matchup to wrap up Championship Sunday.Date:Sunday,Jan. 24 |Time:6:40 p.m. ETLocation:Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mi souri)TV:CBS|Stream:Follow: "The Bills have been much better on defense since the midway point of the season. Coordinator Leslie Frazier has done a nice job. As for Buffalo's offense, didn't put up his usual gaudy numbers last week against the , but he made enough plays. It was a windy night. If the weather holds up here -- and Mahomes is in the game -- this could be a great shootout of two big-armed pa sers. Both defenses have improved since the Chiefs beat the Bills in Week 6, a game where Kansas City ran Matt Ammendola Jersey the football to win it. ran for 161 in Kansas City's 26-17 victory. This time around, I think it's more of an air game with both quarterbacks having good games. I picked the Chiefs to get to the Super Bowl before the season and I am sticking with that. But it will be close -- even with Mahomes." -- Pete Prisco on . "Josh Allen has been playing at an MVP-level all year and I think he can outduel a banged-up Mahomes. I'm picking the Bills here and if they win, there's a 50% chance I'll jump through a flaming folding table in my backyard to celebrate their first Super Bowl appearance since 1993. My neighbors will probably call the police, but it's a risk I'm willing to take." -- John Breech on why Ty Johnson Jersey .In his bold predictions piece for the divisional round, CBS Sports' Cody Benjamin has Bills receiver approaching 200 yards receiving in this game against the Chiefs. To read the rest of Cody's bold predictions (plus a prediction for this game), ."I've been saying this for at least the entire second half of the season: Buffalo is one of the few teams in the AFC that can match the offensive firepower of the Chiefs. The emergence of Josh Allen gives the Bills the ability to match Patrick Mahomes and the Cheifs throw-for-throw, which makes this a particularly tough draw for the defending champs. ... When you have Mahomes po sibly going at le s than full speed, it only adds to the desire to lean towards Buffalo. After all, the Bills are the much hotter team coming into this AFC title game. They are 12-6 ATS on the season, while Kansas City is below .500 in that regard at 7-10 ATS." -- Tyler Sullivan .SportsLine senior analyst and NFL expert Larry Hartstein has his finger of the pulse of the Chiefs, owning a 16-2 record against the spread in picks involving Kansas City. He nailed Cleveland +10 last week and now has made his determination as to which way he's leaning for the AFC Championship. To find out, Pete Prisco Jason La Canfora Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Bills at Chiefs (-3) "While I don't foresee points being hard to come by, I do pause slightly about this total going Over. While Patrick Mahomes is good to go for this game, if he is limited in any way, that brings the Chiefs ceiling for a big day on offense down. That's also not mentioning that Kansas City could lean on a rushing attack to try and beat Buffalo. Back in Week 6, Clyde Edwards-Helaire posted 161 yards rushing against this unit and Andy Reid could deploy a similar attack to help a hobbled Mahomes get through the game. The Under is also 9-8 for the Chiefs this season. As for the Bills, their offense is averaging 22 points per game through two playoff contests. While that's a small sample size, it's nearly 10 points below their regular-season average. " -- Tyler Sullivan on why he's leaning towards the Under with a projected total of 53.Josh Allen first touchdown scorer (+900) -- SportsLine managing editor R.J. White (via Pick Six Podcast)Josh Allen last touchdown scorer (+900) -- SportsLine managing editor R.J. White (via Pick Six Podcast) total receiving yards: Over 52.5 yards (-115) -- : "Brown's receiving Over was one of the bets I managed to get right last week. It helped that he had 11 targets, tied for his season-high. The hunch is that the Bills throw a bunch on the Chiefs (they barely run the ball anyway). Brown should have opportunities to pick up chunks of yardage. I honestly think this line is at least 10 yards too Corey Davis Jersey low. I also want to put it out here that receiving yardage prop is also of interest if it's around this number or le s." to score a TD and the Chiefs to win (+170) -- : "The guy who has a dozen touchdowns this season finding the end zone in a game his team is favored? Why not invest in that combo? It seems economically better than taking Kelce's anytime TD prop at minus-125 and the Chiefs money line at minus-170 separately. The odds are slightly off from what a traditional parlay would pay (plus-186), but it feels about as safe as you can get. Or, if for some reason you're not thrilled with Kelce, you could do the same version of this wager with scoring, and it pays plus-175."
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